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Dynamic Equilibrium Inter-annual Snow Modeling based on Energy-balance Equations for the Bolivian Andes

机译:基于能量平衡方程的玻利维亚安第斯山脉的动态平衡年际降雪模型

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The Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the IPCC identified that the glacier loss in "Low Latitudes regions", which include Bolivia, is the most significant during the last several decades. Therefore, a physically-based regional modeling approach of climate change related snow storage variations for these region is desirable. However, snow models in the field of hydrologic engineering have barely incorporated the long-term effects of inter-annual snow storage variations because the time scale of glacier dynamics is much longer than that of river flow and seasonal snowmelt. This study treats inland glaciers as systems in dynamic equilibrium that stay constant under a static climate condition. The snow/ice vertical movement from high to low elevation areas is considered as an equilibrator of the glacier system as it promotes snow/ice ablation. The challenges of regional energy balance modeling of such a dynamic equilibrium snow system will be discussed in this presentation. The developed model has been coupled with a mesoscale numerical weather model (WRF) to compute the snow surface energy balance.
机译:IPCC的第五次评估报告(AR5)指出,包括玻利维亚在内的“低纬度地区”的冰川损失是过去几十年来最严重的冰川损失。因此,需要一种基于物理的区域建模方法,用于这些区域与气候变化相关的积雪变化。但是,水文工程领域的积雪模型几乎没有考虑年际积雪变化的长期影响,因为冰川动力学的时间尺度比河流流量和季节性融雪的时间尺度长得多。本研究将内陆冰川视为动态平衡的系统,这些系统在静态气候条件下保持恒定。从高海拔到低海拔地区的冰雪垂直运动被认为是冰川系统的平衡器,因为它促进了冰雪消融。在此演示文稿中将讨论这种动态平衡雪系统的区域能量平衡建模所面临的挑战。已开发的模型已与中尺度数值天气模型(WRF)结合使用,以计算雪面能量平衡。

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