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Low-dimensional models in spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting

机译:时空风速预测的低维模型

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Integrating wind power into the grid is challenging because of its random nature. Integration is facilitated with accurate short-term forecasts of wind power. The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm that incorporates the time series data of a target station and data of surrounding stations. Inspired by Compressive Sensing (CS) and structured-sparse recovery algorithms, we claim that there usually exists an intrinsic low-dimensional structure governing a large collection of stations that should be exploited. We cast the forecasting problem as recovery of a block-sparse signal x from a set of linear equations b = Ax for which we propose novel structure-sparse recovery algorithms. Results of a case study in the east coast show that the proposed Compressive Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Forecasting (CSTWSF) algorithm significantly improves the short-term forecasts compared to a set of widely-used benchmark models.
机译:由于其随机性,将风能整合到电网中具有挑战性。准确的短期风电预测有助于集成。本文提出了一种时空风速预测算法,该算法结合了目标站的时间序列数据和周围站的数据。受压缩感知(CS)和结构稀疏恢复算法的启发,我们声称通常存在一个固有的低维结构,该结构控制着应利用的大量站点。我们将预测问题视为从一组线性方程b = Ax的块稀疏信号x的恢复中,为此我们提出了新的结构稀疏恢复算法。在东海岸的一个案例研究结果表明,与一组广泛使用的基准模型相比,拟议的压缩时空风速预报(CSTWSF)算法显着改善了短期预报。

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