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Empirical Analysis on the Interest Rate Transmission Mechanism in China: 1998-2008

机译:1998-2008年中国利率传导机制的实证分析

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摘要

Granger causality test, cointegration test, and VAR analysis are used to analyze the interest rate transmission mechanism from 1998 to 2008 in China. The results indicate that money supply plays more important role than both the money-market rate and the lending rate in monetary transmission mechanism,and the interest rate channel is still not the key channel of monetary transmission mechanism. It is necessary to further promote interest marketization reform, and construct effective connecting mechanism between money-market rate and lending rate for enhancing its effectiveness.
机译:运用格兰杰因果检验,协整检验和VAR分析对1998年至2008年中国的利率传导机制进行了分析。结果表明,货币供应机制中货币供给比货币市场利率和借贷利率都起着更重要的作用,利率渠道仍然不是货币传导机制的关键渠道。有必要进一步推动利率市场化改革,建立货币市场利率与贷款利率之间的有效联系机制,以提高利率市场化的有效性。

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