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Analysis and Prediction of China's Energy Consumption Based on LMDI Method

机译:基于LMDI方法的中国能源消费分析与预测

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China is now experiencing rapid development and has become the second largest energy consumer. China has presented the objectives of building a well of society in an all round way at the 16th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in 2002. Without question, the future society, with higher level of modernization and standard of living, will consume more energy. In this paper, the LMDI (Log-Mean Divisia Index) method is used to analyze the nature of the factors that influence energy consumption during the period 1980-2006. Another contribution of this paper is to develop a forecasting model (LMDIED) based on the LMDI method, in which the effects from each factor can be displayed.
机译:中国正在经历快速发展,已成为第二大能源消费国。在2002年的中国共产党第十六次全国代表大会上,中国提出了全面建设小康社会的目标。毫无疑问,现代化水平和生活水平更高的未来社会将消耗更多的东西。活力。本文使用LMDI(对数均值Divisia指数)方法来分析影响1980-2006年期间能源消耗的因素的性质。本文的另一个贡献是基于LMDI方法开发了一个预测模型(LMDIED),其中可以显示每个因素的影响。

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