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Study on the Dynamic Linkage between China Mainland A-share Market and Hong Kong H-share Market

机译:中国内地A股市场与香港H股市场之间的动态联系研究

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In this paper we investigate the dynamic linkage between mainland China stock market and Hong Kong H-share market over January 1994-December 2007 period, which is divided into four periods marked by Asian financial crisis in 1997 and the opening of China's B-shares to domestic investors in 2001, as well as by split-share structure reform in 2005. Nonlinear Granger causality testing proposed by Himestra and Jones (1994) has been used and a new Monte-Carlo simulation method was induced to calculate the confidence level. The results of non-linear causality tests show that there exists non-linear causality between the two markets during the sample period. However,this causality relationship varies in different periods, which can not been seen from the linear test results.
机译:在本文中,我们研究了1994年1月至2007年12月期间中国大陆股票市场与香港H股市场之间的动态联系,该过程分为四个时期,以1997年的亚洲金融危机和中国的B股开放为标志。 2001年,以及2005年的股权分置改革之后,我们采用了非线性的Granger因果关系检验方法。Himestra和Jones(1994)提出了非线性因果关系检验方法,并引入了一种新的蒙特卡洛模拟方法来计算置信度。非线性因果关系检验的结果表明,在样本期内,两个市场之间存在非线性因果关系。但是,这种因果关系在不同的时期内会有所不同,这从线性测试结果中无法看出。

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