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Regional Flood Frequency Analysis of the Red River BasinUsing L-moments Approach

机译:基于L-矩法的红河流域区域洪水频率分析

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A basin-wide flood frequency analysis using Index flood and L-moments approachoffers an attractive solution to provide flood quantile estimations at hundreds ofungauged sites within the Red River Basin of the North. L-moments diagrams andhierarchical clustering techniques were used initially to delineate hydrologic regionswithin the basin. Although the northern plain is relatively flat and almostmonotonous, the analyses have shown that four homogeneous regions could beestablished for the basin. The whole basin as a region is also established for thepurpose of flood estimations along the main stem. Appropriate probabilitydistributions are fitted to the pooled regional flood peaks in each region. Monte Carlosimulations are performed to decide the best distribution for each region, and thedominant distributions found are the Log-Pearson Type III and the generalized Paretodistributions. The regression of index flood with the physical factors of drainage areaand basin slopes for two of the five regions are not very satisfactory. However, theflood quantile estimates are sufficient for preliminary planning purposes.
机译:利用指数洪水和L矩法进行全流域洪水频率分析 提供了一种有吸引力的解决方案,可以提供数百个洪水分位数的估计 北部的红河盆地内未开垦的土地。 L-矩图和 最初使用分层聚类技术来描述水文区域 在盆地内。尽管北部平原相对平坦且几乎 单调,分析表明可以有四个均质区域 为盆地建立。还建立了整个盆地作为一个区域。 沿主干进行洪水估算的目的。适当的概率 分布适合每个区域中汇集的区域洪峰。蒙特卡洛 进行模拟以确定每个区域的最佳分布,然后 发现的主要分布是Log-Pearson III型和广义Pareto 分布。流域物理因素对指数洪水的回归。 五个地区中有两个地区的盆地坡度和盆地坡度都不太令人满意。但是,那 洪水分位数估计足以用于初步规划目的。

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