PREDICTION OF MALIGNANT MELANOMA INCIDENCE

摘要

There has been a lot of interest in applying modelling techniques cancer statistics for a variety of analytical reasons. Haukulinen and Dyba have applied linear, log-linear and non-linear regression to the problem of predicting incidence rates. In this work we present a review of techniques used and propose a novel approach that can be used for prediction of the incidence of malignant melanoma. The method uses a combination of two regression models, one for total incidence and the other for the age-specific proportion of total incidence. An application of the model is presented which shows very favourable results.