首页> 外文会议>Energy Conversion Engineering Conference, 1989. IECEC-89., Proceedings of the 24th Intersociety >An integral evaluation of supply-side and demand-side electricity options
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An integral evaluation of supply-side and demand-side electricity options

机译:供方和需求方电力选择的综合评估

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The authors present an integrated evaluation of five supply-side and five demand-side electricity options conducted by the Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corporation. This evaluation involved performing decision-tree analyses of the present value of forecast-period revenue requirements using MIDAS (the Multiobject Integrated Decision Analysis System), a new, ERPI-developed, microcomputer-based, utility system planning and financial model. The results-obtained by comparing the results of high-, medium-, and low-load-growth and fuel-price scenarios with those of a base-case scenario-indicated that the demand-side options yielded a $4.3 million reduction in revenue requirements. By contrast, customer-owned generation yielded an expected increase in revenue requirements of $2.8 million. The analysis indicated that demand-side options offered both a greater expected benefit and a significantly smaller variation in outcomes.
机译:作者介绍了由中央哈德森天然气和电力公司进行的五个供应方和五个需求方电力选择方案的综合评估。这项评估包括使用MIDAS(多目标综合决策分析系统),ERPI开发的,基于微机的新型公用事业系统规划和财务模型,对预测期收入需求的现值进行决策树分析。通过将高,中,低负荷增长和燃料价格情景的结果与基本情景的结果进行比较而获得的结果表明,需求方的选择权使收入需求减少了430万美元。相比之下,客户拥有的发电产生的收入要求预期增加了280万美元。分析表明,需求方的选择既提供了更大的预期收益,又提供了明显较小的结果差异。

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