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Stability Analysis and Bifurcation Control For a Fractional Order SIR Epidemic Model with Delay

机译:分数阶SIR时滞流行病模型的稳定性分析与分岔控制。

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In this paper, a delayed fractional SIR epidemic model with incommensurate orders is considered. Firstly, the stability is investigated and the conditions of the existence for Hopf bifurcation are attained by analyzing its characteristic equation. When the delay exceeds the critical value, a Hopf bifurcation occurs, the system loses its stability. An fractional PD control method is proposed to control the bifurcation behaviors of the delayed fractional SIR epidemic model. Finally, some numerical simulations are given to illustrate the validity of theoretical analysis.
机译:在本文中,考虑了具有不等阶的时滞分数SIR流行病模型。首先,通过分析其特征方程,研究其稳定性,并得出存在Hopf分支的条件。当延迟超过临界值时,将发生Hopf分叉,系统将失去稳定性。提出了一种分数PD控制方法来控制时滞分数SIR流行病模型的分叉行为。最后,通过数值模拟说明了理论分析的正确性。

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