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Developing a Predictive Model on Assessing Children in Conflict with the Law and Children at Risk: A Case in the Philippines

机译:建立评估违法儿童和处于危险中的儿童的预测模型:菲律宾的案例

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Lawful protection and the right to live is a common term used to most of the citizen in a society. Protecting children is a major area in the society needed to execute. So, this study aims to utilize data mining techniques in extracting hidden patterns that can be used to craft a policy that will lessen the children in conflict with the law and children at risk and enforce the preventive measure. This study aims to develop a model is using the dataset provided by the social welfare and check the predictive performance of the different algorithm, like a Decision tree, Naïve Bayes, General Linear model, and Logistic Regression. Using RapidMiner as a tool to cross-validate and measure the performance of each model and Tableau for the data visualization of the data. This study found out that the Naïve Bayes algorithm is the appropriate model for prediction for having a 92.65% accuracy result and 7.35% classification error. However, the Naïve Bayes algorithm garners 2.001 seconds in model building time. Further, this study found that at the age 15-17 years also children committed a heinous crime and at the age of 12 - 17 year old many are victims of maltreatment.
机译:合法保护和生存权是社会上大多数公民常用的术语。保护儿童是社会需要执行的主要领域。因此,本研究旨在利用数据挖掘技术来提取隐藏模式,这些隐藏模式可用于制定一项政策,以减少违法儿童和处于危险中的儿童并采取预防措施。这项研究旨在使用社会福利提供的数据集来开发模型,并检查不同算法的预测性能,例如决策树,朴素贝叶斯,通用线性模型和Logistic回归。使用RapidMiner作为交叉验证和测量每个模型和Tableau的性能的工具,以实现数据的数据可视化。这项研究发现,朴素贝叶斯算法是正确的预测模型,具有92.65%的准确度结果和7.35%的分类误差。但是,朴素的贝叶斯算法在建立模型的时间上获得了2.001秒。此外,这项研究还发现,儿童在15-17岁时也犯下了令人发指的罪行,而在12-17岁时,许多人则受到了虐待。

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