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A Machine Learning Approach to Predict Autism Spectrum Disorder

机译:一种预测自闭症谱系障碍的机器学习方法

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In present day Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is gaining its momentum faster than ever. Detecting autism traits through screening tests is very expensive and time consuming. With the advancement of artificial intelligence and machine learning (ML), autism can be predicted at quite early stage. Though number of studies have been carried out using different techniques, these studies didn't provide any definitive conclusion about predicting autism traits in terms of different age groups. Therefore this paper aims to propose an effective prediction model based on ML technique and to develop a mobile application for predicting ASD for people of any age. As outcomes of this research, an autism prediction model was developed by merging Random Forest-CART (Classification and Regression Trees) and Random Forest-Id3(Iterative Dichotomiser 3) and also a mobile application was developed based on the proposed prediction model. The proposed model was evaluated with AQ-10 dataset and 250 real dataset collected from people with and without autistic traits. The evaluation results showed that the proposed prediction model provide better results in terms of accuracy, specificity, sensitivity, precision and false positive rate (FPR) for both kinds of datasets.
机译:如今,自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)的发展势头比以往任何时候都要快。通过筛查测试来检测自闭症特征是非常昂贵且耗时的。随着人工智能和机器学习(ML)的发展,可以在很早的阶段就预测出自闭症。尽管已经使用不同的技术进行了许多研究,但是这些研究并未提供关于根据不同年龄组预测自闭症特征的任何明确结论。因此,本文旨在提出一种基于ML技术的有效预测模型,并开发出一种移动应用程序来预测任何年龄段的人的ASD。作为这项研究的结果,通过合并随机森林-CART(分类和回归树)和随机森林-Id3(迭代二分法3)开发了自闭症预测模型,并在此预测模型的基础上开发了移动应用程序。该模型使用AQ-10数据集和250个真实数据集进行了评估,该数据集是从具有和没有自闭症特征的人群中收集的。评估结果表明,所提出的预测模型在两种数据集的准确性,特异性,敏感性,准确性和误报率(FPR)方面均提供了更好的结果。

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