This paper summarizes and briefly analyzes current transport demand management policies in China. According to the social economic development plan, five development trends of car transport are concluded first: sharing, intelligent, electrical, guided and controlled, and regulated. Then three scenarios for car transport development were set: baseline, low carbon, and intensified low carbon. The methodology of carbon emission quantification of cars was identified and carbon emissions from 2010 to 2030 in China were quantified, simultaneously by LEAP model, and the CO2 emission is also calculated to testify both the methodology and the calculation results. Then, the development trends of carbon emissions of car transport are discovered in China. Analyzing the emission reduction potential in target years 2020 and 2030 and the contribution ratio from various measures gives support to the promoting of car management level and policy-making for car transport development in China.
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