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Leveraging Convolutions in Recurrent Neural Networks for Doppler Weather Radar Echo Prediction

机译:利用循环神经网络中的卷积进行多普勒天气雷达回波预测。

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Precipitation forecasting for short duration is an important problem in weather prediction. In this work, we propose a deep learning based approach for precipitation forecasting using Doppler weather radar data. Our approach uses convolutions within recurrence structure in vanilla recurrent neural networks exploiting both spatial and temporal dependencies in the data. We show that this approach can be applied for fine grained precipitation forecast with similar accuracy as that of complex models while reducing the model size by 4 times. Results are presented on the task of echo state prediction and skill scores for rainfall estimates on the data from Seattle, WA, USA as well as from cross testing the model, trained on Seattle data, on unseen data from Albany, NY, USA.
机译:短期降水预报是天气预报中的重要问题。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种使用多普勒天气雷达数据进行降水预测的基于深度学习的方法。我们的方法在香草递归神经网络的递归结构内使用卷积,从而利用数据中的时空依赖性。我们表明,该方法可用于细粒度降水预测,其精度与复杂模型相似,而模型大小减少了4倍。在美国华盛顿州西雅图市的数据以及对经过西雅图数据训练的模型的交叉测试中,对美国纽约州奥尔巴尼的看不见的数据进行了交叉测试,结果给出了回波状态预测任务和降雨评估技能得分的结果。

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