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Mobile Communication Signatures of Unemployment

机译:失业的移动通信签名

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The mapping of populations socio-economic well-being is highly constrained by the logistics of censuses and surveys. Consequently, spatially detailed changes across scales of days, weeks, or months, or even year to year, are difficult to assess; thus the speed of which policies can be designed and evaluated is limited. However, recent studies have shown the value of mobile phone data as an enabling methodology for demographic modeling and measurement. In this work, we investigate whether indicators extracted from mobile phone usage can reveal information about the socio-economical status of microregions such as districts (i.e., average spatial resolution <2.7km). For this we examine anonymized mobile phone metadata combined with beneficiaries records from unemployment benefit program. We find that aggregated activity, social, and mobility patterns strongly correlate with unemployment. Furthermore, we construct a simple model to produce accurate reconstruction of district level unemployment from their mobile communication patterns alone. Our results suggest that reliable and cost-effective economical indicators could be built based on passively collected and anonymized mobile phone data. With similar data being collected every day by telecommunication services across the world, survey-based methods of measuring community socioeconomic status could potentially be augmented or replaced by such passive sensing methods in the future.
机译:人口普查和调查的后勤工作严重限制了人口社会经济福祉的测绘。因此,很难评估跨数天,数周或数月甚至每年的尺度的空间变化。因此,可以设计和评估策略的速度受到限制。但是,最近的研究表明,手机数据作为人口统计建模和测量的一种可行方法具有价值。在这项工作中,我们调查了从手机使用情况中提取的指标是否可以揭示有关微区(如地区)的社会经济状况的信息(即平均空间分辨率<2.7 km)。为此,我们检查了匿名的手机元数据,并结合了失业救济计划的受益人记录。我们发现,总体的活动,社会和流动方式与失业密切相关。此外,我们构建了一个简单的模型,仅凭移动通信模式就可以准确地重建地区级的失业率。我们的结果表明,可以基于被动收集和匿名的手机数据来建立可靠且具有成本效益的经济指标。全世界的电信服务每天都会收集类似的数据,因此将来可能会以这种基于被动调查的方法来增强或取代基于调查的测量社区社会经济地位的方法。

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