Socioeconomic Determinant Analysis of Influencing the Urban Transit Share in China

摘要

In recent years many cities in China are making great progress in developing urban public transportation. Meanwhile the share of public transit is becoming one of the main indexes in evaluating the level of public transport development. Based on the quantitative analysis of different type of cities, this paper reveals the internal relationship between the public transit share and social economic conditions. Firstly the range of factors influencing public transit share or transit usage is determined based on domestic and international literature review. Secondly, the trend of domestic public transit ridership and social economic factors in recent 25 years is examined as the fundamental to build models. Thirdly, the paper chooses 30 cities of different types and scales as the objects of study, and builds structural equation models to quantify the impacts of changes in several determinants on public transit share. In the end the paper illustrates how and to which extent the social and economic factors influence the change of public transit share.