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Recognition of Infectious Diseases like Health Effects of Climate Change in Michoacan, Mexico during 2009-2011

机译:2009 - 2011年墨西哥米科克甘蔗气候变化健康疾病等传染病等传染病

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Background: Exist indirect pathways from climate change to alter transmission dynamics of disease vectors (e.g. triatominae and mosquitoe) and vector-borne diseases (e.g. chagas disease and dengue). Also, food and water borne diseases. A direct pathway to acquire infectious disease is the altered air chemistry with high air pollutants concentrations like ozone and other human airways irritants. Aims: Obtain epidemiological evidence related with climate change locally in the last three years. Methods: An ecological design trying to obtain epidemiological evidence to suggest hypothesis about climate change phenomena and how is reshaping the distribution of infectious diseases across local scale. We obtained epidemiological surveillance data from laboratory and local disease register called SUIVE in 2009-2011. Also, meteorological conditions like temperature and precipitations were obtained from a state meteorological stations proportioned by the National Water Comission. Results: We found 258 positive cases of Chagas disease during 2009-2011, some of them in places where were not reported in the past like Maravatio region (4 cases). 3 cases of coccidiomycosis were investigated in the state laboratory in Buenavista region in 2011. An outbreak of vibrio parahaemolyticus related with sea foodborne was registered in april 2010. And, finally, a set of acute diarrhoeal, respiratory, dermal, conjunctivitis and parasitic infections were reported after flooding on february 2010 in Angangueo region. Temperature on april 1950-2000 was in range 15(°C) to 30(°C). Rain was 3mm- 32mm in the same period. Temperature and rains scenarios, MPIECHAM 5, A2, on april 2030 and 2050 were 18(°C) to 31(°C) and 19(°C) to 33(°C), respectively. Precipitation was 4mm-12mm and 2mm-16mm, respectively. Conclusions: This is among the beginning of empirical evidence of epidemics diseases with epidemiological studies that anthropogenic climate change is driving the emergence of infectious diseases in Michoacan state of Mexico.
机译:背景:存在来自气候变化的间接途径,以改变疾病载体的传动动态(例如,Trairiatominae和蚊子)和载体传播疾病(例如Chagas病和登革热)。此外,食品和水源性疾病。获得传染病的直接途径是具有高空气污染物浓度的改变的空气化学,如臭氧和其他人类气道刺激物。目的:在过去三年中获得与气候变化相关的流行病学证据。方法:生态设计试图获得流行病学证据表明关于气候变化现象的假设以及如何在局部规模中重塑传染病分布。我们在2009 - 2011年获得了实验室和地方疾病登记术的流行病学监测数据。此外,像温度和沉淀物一样的气象条件是从国家水融化的状态气象站获得。结果:我们在2009 - 2011年期间发现了258例CHAGAS病病例,其中一些在过去尚未报告的地方,如Maravatio地区(4例)。在2011年Buenavista地区的国家实验室调查了3例椰子霉菌病。2010年4月注册了与海洋食品中的Vibrio Parahaemolyticus爆发。最后,一系列急性腹泻,呼吸道,皮肤,结膜炎和寄生虫感染在2010年2月在昂地富乐地区洪水洪水报告。 4月1950 - 20000年4月的温度为15(°C)至30(°C)。雨是3mm-32mm的同期。温度和降雨场景,4月2030和2050的MPIECHAM 5,A2分别为18(℃)至31(°C),19(℃)至33(°C)。沉淀分别为4mm-12mm和2mm-16mm。结论:这是流行病学研究的流行病学疾病的经验证据之一,即人为气候变化正在推动Michoacan墨西哥州的传染病的出现。

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