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ADDRESSING THE PUBLIC HEALTH IMPACT IN MACEDONIA: THE CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION STRATEGY IN HEALTH SECTOR

机译:解决马其顿的公共卫生影响:卫生部门的气候变化适应战略

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Background. Scenarios for Macedonia anticipate an average increase of 3.8 °C by 2100, more frequent and more intense heatwaves, droughts and flood events.Climate change adaption has been established as a priority within existing international and national policy instruments. The findings of a national health vulnerability, impact and adaptation assessment of climate change carried out in the country as part of a WHO/BMU seven countries initiative will be present. Aims.The aims were to assess the health effects of climate change and to develop a national adaptation strategy and action plan. Methods.A variety of qualitative and quantitative methodologies were used: Literature reviews, interviews, focus group, time series and regression analysis, damage and adaptation cost estimation, scenario based assessment, and stakeholder engagement. The development of a national adaptation strategy followed a public health strategy process developed by the WHO Europe. Results. An increase in maximum daily temperatures influences the daily distribution of total mortality during the heatwaves. Climate change-attributed costs of approximately € 2.6 million were calculated. Projected direct health impacts include higher salmonellosis degree increase in weekly temperature, an increase in pollen distribution in early spring, and a change in the presence of vectors. Conclusions. The generation of a robust evidence base, a coordinated and systematic approach to climate change research and the development of robust stakeholder engagement can be used to support the formulation and implementation of sustainable, multisectoral strategies and promote adaptive capacity.
机译:背景。马其顿的情景预计,到2100年,平均气温将升高3.8°C,热浪,干旱和洪水事件更加频繁和更加激烈。气候变化适应已被确定为现有国际和国家政策工具中的优先事项。将介绍作为WHO / BMU七个国家计划的一部分在该国进行的国家健康脆弱性,影响和气候变化适应评估的结果。目的是评估气候变化对健康的影响并制定国家适应战略和行动计划。方法:使用了各种定性和定量方法:文献综述,访谈,焦点小组,时间序列和回归分析,损害和适应成本估算,基于情景的评估以及利益相关方参与。国家适应战略的制定是在世卫组织欧洲制定的公共卫生战略过程之后进行的。结果。每日最高温度的升高会影响热浪期间总死亡率的每日分布。据估算,气候变化造成的费用约为260万欧元。预计对健康的直接影响包括更高的沙门氏菌病度,每周温度的升高,早春花粉分布的增加,以及媒介物的存在的变化。结论可靠的证据基础的产生,气候变化研究的协调和系统的方法以及利益相关者的积极参与的发展可用于支持制定和实施可持续的多部门战略,并提高适应能力。

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