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Assessment of In-Service Measurement Uncertainty and its Impact on Performance Recovery Analysis of Overhauled Civil Turbofan Engines

机译:在役测量不确定度的评估及其对大修民用涡扇发动机性能恢复分析的影响

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A systematic approach to assess the impact of engine measurement uncertainty on the analysis uncertainty of maintenance induced performance recovery is presented. For that purpose a methodology is developed in a first step to estimate the random measurement uncertainty of production instrumentation based on engine monitoring data. The methodology is specifically designed for the requirements of a maintenance provider without Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) information on the measurement chain's components and their elemental uncertainties. The filtering steps, needed to process the raw measurement data until a conservative estimation of the random measurement uncertainty is obtained, are described in this paper. The estimated random measurement uncertainty is used to assess the analysis uncertainty of engine performance parameters and their recovery during an engine shop visit using a Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). The uncertainties of different analysis methods are compared with respect to their sensitivity to the estimated measurement uncertainty and discussed with respect to their applicability to the problem of analysing performance recovery. These reflections include the prospect of differently workscoped engines. Finally, the basic ideas of the student-t problem are used to establish a confidence interval for the analysed performance recovery as a function of available in-service data. A limit value is established for the number of averaged engine snapshots resulting in an improved performance recovery analysis.
机译:提出了一种系统的方法来评估发动机测量不确定性对维修引起的性能恢复的分析不确定性的影响。为此,在第一步中开发了一种方法,以基于发动机监控数据估算生产仪器的随机测量不确定性。该方法是专门为维护提供商的要求而设计的,而没有原始设备制造商(OEM)关于测量链的组件及其基本不确定性的信息。本文描述了处理原始测量数据直到获得对随机测量不确定性的保守估计所需的滤波步骤。估计的随机测量不确定性用于通过蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)评估发动机性能参数及其在发动机维修期间的恢复性的分析不确定性。比较了不同分析方法的不确定性对估计的测量不确定性的敏感性,并就其对性能恢复分析的适用性进行了讨论。这些反映包括不同工作范围的引擎的前景。最后,将学生t问题的基本思想用于根据可用的在役数据确定所分析的性能恢复的置信区间。为平均引擎快照数确定了一个极限值,从而改善了性能恢复分析。

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