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Use of Encounter Model for Collision Risk Assessment of Yangtze River

机译:使用遇到模型的长江碰撞风险评估

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As China's largest and the world's busiest inland river, the sustainable development and navigational safety of Yangtze River are widely concerned by various parties. However, with the national development of the Middle and Western parts of China, the throughput as well as the passing ships of Yangtze River has been increasing rapidly during the past few decades. Collisions, groundings, overturns, oil-spills, fires, and other accidents have occurred repeatedly and caused serious consequences. In view of this, this paper examines collision risk assessment on the Yangtze River. The research presented a collision risk assessment approach which is based on a novel ship encounter model. This model considers the historical and the current traffic conditions as well as the environmental features, which could be used for evaluation and prediction of collision risk. Finally, the collision risk of the main route of Yangtze River was evaluated as an example.
机译:随着中国最大的和世界上最繁忙的内陆河流,长江的可持续发展和航行安全被各缔约方广泛关注。然而,随着中国中西部地区的国家发展,吞吐量以及长江的过去船在过去几十年中一直在迅速增加。反复发生碰撞,地面,翻转,溢出,火灾和其他事故,并导致严重后果。鉴于此,本文探讨了长江上的碰撞风险评估。该研究提出了一种碰撞风险评估方法,基于新型船舶遭遇模型。该模型考虑了历史和当前的交通状况以及环境特征,可用于评估和预测碰撞风险。最后,作为一个例子,评估了长江主路线的碰撞风险。

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