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Dynamic Bayesian Networks: A Factored Model of Probabilistic Dynamics

机译:动态贝叶斯网络:概率动力学的分解模型

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The modeling and analysis of probabilistic dynamical systems is becoming a central topic in the formal methods community. Usually, Markov chains of various kinds serve as the core mathematical formalism in these studies. However, in many of these settings, the probabilistic graphical model called dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) [4] can be a more appropriate model to work with. This is so since a DBN is often a factored and succinct representation of an underlying Markov chain. Our goal here is to describe DBNs from this standpoint. After introducing the basic formalism, we discuss inferenc-ing algorithms for DBNs. We then consider a simple probabilistic temporal logic and the associated model checking problem for DBNs with a finite time horizon. Finally, we describe how DBNs can be used to study the behavior of biochemical networks.
机译:概率动力学系统的建模和分析已成为形式方法社区中的中心话题。通常,各种马尔可夫链是这些研究中的核心数学形式主义。然而,在许多这样的环境中,称为动态贝叶斯网络(DBN)的概率图形模型[4]可能是更合适的模型。之所以如此,是因为DBN通常是底层马尔可夫链的分解和简洁表示。我们的目标是从这个角度描述DBN。在介绍了基本形式主义之后,我们讨论了DBN的推理算法。然后,我们考虑具有有限时间范围的DBN的简单概率时态逻辑和相关的模型检查问题。最后,我们描述了如何使用DBN来研究生化网络的行为。

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