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A Case Study of Transportation Network Resiliency of Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic

机译:多米尼加共和国圣多明哥的运输网络弹性案例研究

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Everyday the dependence on transportation grows as local, regional, national, and internationalindependence increases. Resilient transportation systems are needed to secure the highestpossible Level of Service during disruptive events including natural and man-made disasters. Toprepare for these events, decision makers need guidance to determine what investments are likelyto improve the resiliency of their networks that are often hampered by limited resources. Suchguidance to date has been largely qualitative.This paper presents a methodology to quantify resiliency, at pre-event conditions, using afuzzy inference approach. This methodology expands upon previous work by the authors andothers, refining key variable definitions, adjusting model interactions, and increasingtransparency between metrics.A case study is included in which the methodology is applied to a disruptive event inSanto Domingo, Dominican Republic. The case study illustrates the methodology's ability to: a)evaluate the extent to which the Dominican Republic's transportation network is prepared for adisruptive event; b) help select investments that have the potential to increase the resiliency ofthe network; and 3) provide outputs that will support a variety of current economic analysisstrategies, allow for the comparison of different investment scenarios, and facilitate decision-making. The paper concludes a sensitivity analysis that shows the effects of alternativeinvestments on network.
机译:每天,对交通的依赖随着地方,区域,国家和国际的增长而增长 独立性增加。需要有弹性的运输系统来确保最高水平 在破坏性事件(包括自然和人为灾难)中可能的服务水平。到 为这些事件做准备,决策者需要指导,以确定可能进行的投资 来提高其网络的弹性,而这些资源通常会受到有限资源的阻碍。这样的 迄今为止的指导在很大程度上是定性的。 本文介绍了一种在事件发生前情况下使用以下方法量化抵御能力的方法: 模糊推理方法。这种方法是作者和作者先前工作的扩展。 其他,完善关键变量定义,调整模型交互,并增加 指标之间的透明度。 包括一个案例研究,其中该方法学被应用到了一个破坏性事件中。 多米尼加共和国圣多明哥。案例研究说明了该方法论的能力:a) 评估多米尼加共和国的交通网络为 破坏性事件; b)帮助选择有潜力增加投资抵御能力的投资 网络;和3)提供支持各种当前经济分析的输出 策略,允许比较不同的投资方案,并促进决策- 制作。本文总结了敏感性分析,显示了替代方法的影响 网络投资。

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