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Asset Pricing under Evolution of Agent's Behavioral Heterogeneity in an Artificial Financial Market

机译:人工金融市场中代理行为异质性演化下的资产定价

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We use the study method of Computational Finance to explore the formation and evolution of asset prices from the standpoint of the evolution of investor individual's heterogeneous behavior through building an agent-based artificial financial market. In our model,agent will consider fundamental information and price tendency simultaneously at each period to form expectation that based on personal characters, such as mood,memory length,adjustment and extrapolation speed.The weight that he relies on both fundamental and technical analysis varies over time,which is the best prediction to current market state from empirical rule-set that has been updated through learning from the market situation with Genetic Algorithm (GA) and individual's trading experience with Generation Function (GF).The adaptive updating of the weight represents the evolution of agent's behavior.The model captures the two prime behaviors of agent and the trade-off between them,which realized by agent's adaptively personal learning. Simulation testing shows that even considering agent's variation of behavior in the market,the market fraction also has to be composed of the proportions of confident fundamentalists,chartists and adaptively rational agents as empirical evidence suggests, which will cause the so-called "stylized facts" in financial time series,under a market maker scenario.The impact of the market fraction varies on asset pricing also has been examined.
机译:通过建立基于代理人的人工金融市场,从投资者个人异质行为演变的角度出发,我们使用计算金融的研究方法来探讨资产价格的形成和演变。在我们的模型中,Agent将在每个时期同时考虑基本信息和价格趋势,以形成基于个人特征(例如情绪,内存长度,调整和外推速度)的期望。他依赖于基本和技术分析的权重随时间的变化而变化。时间,这是根据经验规则集对当前市场状态的最佳预测,该经验集是通过学习遗传算法(GA)的市场情况和个人生成经验(GF)的交易经验而更新的。权重的自适应更新表示该模型捕获了代理的两个主要行为以及它们之间的权衡,这是通过代理的自适应个人学习来实现的。模拟测试表明,即使考虑市场主体的行为变化,市场份额也必须由有信心的原教旨主义者,图表学家和适应性理性主体的比例组成,这是经验证据表明的,这将导致所谓的“程式化事实”。在金融时间序列中,在做市商的情况下。还研究了市场分数对资产定价的影响。

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