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Model Analysis and Prediction of Sino-US trade imbalance

机译:中美贸易失衡的模型分析与预测

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since China and United States has established relationship over 20 years, the bilateral economic and trade relationship developed rapidly, in recent years, it maintained a strong momentum, and it made them become mutual important trade partners. At the same time, the bilateral trade imbalance becomes a prominent and serious problem. But China has a big difference, in the level of economy, technology development, resource endowment, industrial structure, consumption trend and other aspects with United States, so it is necessary to analyze the factors that determine the situation of Sino-US trade. Firstly, this thesis introduced current situation of Sino-US trade imbalance; secondly, it deeply analyzed the factors that made Sino-US trade imbalance expand and reduce; lastly, it predicted the scale of Sino-US trade through establishing model, then we could accurately grasped the dynamic changes of Sino-US trade.
机译:中美建交二十多年来,两国经贸关系发展迅速,近年来保持了强劲势头,使两国成为互为重要的贸易伙伴。同时,双边贸易失衡成为一个突出而严重的问题。但是中国在经济水平,技术发展,资源end赋,产业结构,消费趋势等方面与美国存在较大差异,因此有必要分析决定中美贸易形势的因素。本文首先介绍了中美贸易不平衡的现状。其次,深入分析了导致中美贸易失衡扩大和减少的因素。最后通过建立模型对中美贸易规模进行了预测,从而可以准确把握中美贸易的动态变化。

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