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Prediction of Summer Precipitation Anomalies over China by CAM-RegCM Nested Model

机译:CAM-RegCM嵌套模型预测中国夏季降水异常

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The newly global atmosphere general circulation model CAM is nested with the regional climate model RegCM in order to predict the summer precipitation anomaly over China. The ensemble hindcast experiments from 1984 to 2000 are performed, and their results indicate that CAM-RegCM has some forecasting skills on the summer precipitation anomaly, that is the prediction score is above 80, the anomaly correlation coefficient can reach 0.29, and the forecasting effect is better in the north of East China than in the south. The real time forecast experiments from 2003 to 2007 show that it is correlated better in 2003, 2004, 2006 and 2007. Furthermore, correction is one important step in the short-term climate prediction.
机译:新的全球大气总环流模型CAM与区域气候模型RegCM嵌套在一起,以预测中国夏季的降水异常。进行了1984年至2000年的整体后验实验,结果表明CAM-RegCM对夏季降水异常具有一定的预测能力,即预测得分在80以上,异常相关系数可以达到0.29,具有预测效果。华东北部比南部更好。 2003年至2007年的实时预报实验表明,它与2003年,2004年,2006年和2007年的相关性更好。此外,校正是短期气候预测中的重要一步。

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