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Stability in a superpower-dominated global economicsystem

机译:在超级大国主导的全球经济体系中的稳定

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This paper provides an example of a system dynamics model that incorporates softvariables. The model examines the challenges that a superpower faces while maintaining its position in the global economic system. The effects on aggregate welfare of the population at home and abroad, as well as, issues of sustaining authority in the long run are explored through experimentation with a computer model. This theory is an extension of the framework developed by Saeed(1990), which was used to understand political instability and the failure of the government to stay committed to welfare agendas in the developing countries. The present model captures the interaction between several institutional actors involved with the economic and the governance systems. They include the public, the authoritarian regime, the reformist movements that seek change within the existing framework, and the dissident movements that turn to violent methods.
机译:本文提供了一个包含软件的系统动力学模型的示例 变量。该模型研究了超级大国在维持其在全球经济体系中的地位的同时所面临的挑战。通过计算机模型的试验,探索了对国内外人口总福利的影响以及长期维权的问题。该理论是Saeed(1990)开发的框架的扩展,该框架用于理解政治不稳定和政府未能继续致力于发展中国家的福利议程。本模型描述了参与经济和治理系统的几个机构参与者之间的相互作用。它们包括公众,专制政权,在现有框架内寻求变革的改良主义运动,以及转向暴力方式的持不同政见的运动。

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