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Governing a complex social system with system dynamics: the management and economics of an airport hub

机译:通过系统动力学来管理复杂的社会系统:机场枢纽的管理和经济学

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Managing a hub successfully imply the interaction of numerous actors, both public andprivate operating at a local, national and international level. Such a complexity imply that,rather than the content of the single decision, it is important to understand those dynamicsemerging from an articulated system of decisions. In order to improve the quality of the singledecisions, it is required the ability to generate valid systemic conceptual models aimed at theunderstanding of the long term consequences, avoiding counterintuitive and undesirableresults.This paper constitutes the outcome of the continuation of a research project started in 1999and can be considered the result of the second evolution of the hub model. A first evalotion ofthe model had been presented in a paper written 2000. While the 2000 paper focusedparticularly on a hub creation, this paper focuses on hub management and the economicimpact of managerial choices.The paper is articulated in three parts: The first is dedicated to the statement of the problem;dilemmas, possible strategies and key decisions related to the creation of a hub are discussed.In the second part the systemic conceptual model is presented with reference to a simulatedEuropean airport context. In the last section some consideration about the implication interms of decision making, economic impact, the directions proposed by the model and thepossibility to generalise it in other systemic context are explored.
机译:成功管理枢纽意味着公共和非政府众多参与者之间的互动 在地方,国家和国际层面上的私人经营。如此复杂意味着 而不是单个决策的内容,重要的是要了解这些动态 从明确的决策系统中脱颖而出。为了提高质量单 决策,就需要具有生成针对目标的有效系统概念模型的能力 了解长期后果,避免违反直觉和不希望的事情 结果。 本文构成了1999年开始的一项研究项目的继续成果 并且可以被认为是轮毂模型第二次演变的结果。第一次撤离 该模型已在2000年发表的一篇论文中提出。 特别是在枢纽创建方面,本文重点介绍枢纽管理和经济 管理选择的影响。 该论文分为三个部分:第一部分专门讨论问题的陈述;第二部分专门讨论问题的陈述。 讨论了与创建枢纽有关的困境,可能的策略和关键决策。 在第二部分中,系统概念模型是参考模拟得出的 欧洲机场的背景。在上一节中,我们对隐含的含义进行了一些考虑。 决策条款,经济影响,模型提出的方向以及 探索了将其推广到其他系统环境中的可能性。

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