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Progress report on the CAC manpower and educational planning model

机译:CAC人力和教育计划模型的进度报告

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Economic planning has recently begun to focus on a new dimension: that of anticipating the manpower, educational and skill requirements likely to result from different patterns of economic and social development. The U. S. record in this area thus far has not been encouraging, and the present difficulties faced by job seekers in many fields of engineering and natural sciences-and in a number of other professional disciplines-attest to the failure of educational and manpower planning in this nation in the late 1950's and the 1960's. This paper discusses a large-scale manpower and educational planning model presently being developed at the Center for Advanced Computation (CAC) of the University of Illinois. This model is unique in several respects: it utillzes a number of detailed data sets available from the Federal government which have not previously been integrated in a coherent manner, it is a user oriented system which allows it to be employed by persons unfamiliar with economic modeling or computer software, and it can accept inputs and deliver outputs nationwide via ARPANET facilities. A brief overview of the system is presented, the results of several empirical analyses conducted with components of the model are discussed, and the prospects for continued implementation and development of this type of system are indicated.
机译:经济计划最近开始集中于一个新的方面:预测可能由不同的经济和社会发展模式引起的人力,教育和技能需求的方面。迄今为止,美国在这一领域的记录并不令人鼓舞,工程和自然科学许多领域以及许多其他专业领域的求职者目前面临的困难证明了该领域教育和人力规划的失败。 1950年代末和1960年代的美国。本文讨论了伊利诺伊大学高级计算中心(CAC)目前正在开发的大规模人力和教育计划模型。该模型在几个方面是独一无二的:它利用了联邦政府提供的许多详细数据集,这些数据集以前并未以一致的方式进行集成,它是一个面向用户的系统,允许不熟悉经济建模的人员使用它。或计算机软件,它可以接受输入并通过ARPANET设施在全国范围内提供输出。介绍了该系统的简要概述,讨论了使用该模型的组件进行的一些经验分析的结果,并指出了继续实施和开发这种类型的系统的前景。

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