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A NOTE ON SETUP SENSITIVITY AND PREDICTION ACCURACY

机译:关于设置灵敏度和预测准确性的注意事项

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摘要

The sensitivity of numerical model predictions of the cross-shore profile of wave-driven setup, the increase in the mean sea level associated with breaking waves, to the accuracy of the observational inputs and to different physical processes is explored using data from three field experiments. Using different parametric wave models to estimate the cross-shore distribution of wave heights and energy used to drive the setup model can result in up to 90% changes in the predicted setup. Approximating the surfzone beach profile used in the models as planar results in increased setup on concave beaches and reduced setup on convex beaches. Using a planar beach profile and a constant mean water level rather than the measured bathymetry and tidal fluctuations increases the mean and root-mean square errors between the predictions and observations by up to a factor of 5. Including bottom stress and wave rollers significantly improves setup predictions in water depths less than 1 m.
机译:利用来自三个野外实验的数据,探索了波浪驱动装置的跨岸剖面的数值模型预测,与破碎波有关的平均海平面升高,观测输入的精度以及不同物理过程的敏感性。 。使用不同的参数化波浪模型来估计波浪高度的跨岸分布以及用于驱动设置模型的能量可能会导致预测的设置发生多达90%的变化。将模型中使用的冲浪区海滩轮廓近似为平面会导致凹形海滩上的设置增加,而凸形海滩上的设置减少。使用平坦的海滩剖面和恒定的平均水位而不是测得的测深图和潮汐波动,将预测和观察值之间的均方根误差和根方均方根误差提高了5倍。包括底应力和波轮在内可显着改善设置水深小于1 m的预测。

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