Architecture vision and technologies for post-NPOESS weather prediction system: Two-way interactive observing and modeling. Part II, Use case scenario

摘要

This is a companion paper to "Architecture Vision and Technologies for post-NPOESS Weather Prediction System: Two-way Interactive Observing and Modeling". Our recently completed two-year NASA-sponsored study on Advanced Weather Forecasting Technologies concluded that it may be possible in the future to significantly extend the skill range of model based weather forecasting via a direct real-time two-way feedback between computer forecast models and highly networked, intelligent observing systems (Sensor Webs). The study group developed a high-level Weather Architecture to describe the system (see the companion paper). This paper describes application of the proposed Weather Architecture to a particular weather scenario—the US east coast Blizzard of January 24 and 25, 2000. The objective of the scenario exercise was to help clarify thinking on the architecture functions in light of realistic, tractable (1 to 5 day) forecast situations, and infrastructure and technologies that might be reasonably projected for 2015.