Managing uncertainty in world-wide long demand - we know less than we think- Gerer L'incertitude sur LA demande mondiale DU GNL - nous EN savons encore moins que nous NE pensons -

摘要

Elasticity of demand, the price of competing fuels and the potential impact of government policy, among other things, make forecasting demand difficult. In a long lead time business, like LNG, the impact of this uncertainty is amplified. The range of demand growth which exists in various published forecasts result from very different future business climates. Indeed, the full magnitude of uncertianty in future demand may be significantly underestimated.