e-HighWay2050: A Modular Development Plan on Pan-European Electricity Highways System for 2050

摘要

Traditionally, expansion of transmission networks has been ruled by the functional needs ofrntransporting electrical energy from main generation centres to consumptions centres. Interconnectionsrnbetween national transmission networks have been used mainly to ensure security of supply andrnprovide mutual support. However, the development of a single European electricity market and thernexpansion of renewable generation, driven by CO2 emission reduction targets, emphasize the need forrna Pan-European transmission network.rnIn response to the call ENERGY.2012.7.2.1 of the European Commission, the project e-rnHighway2050 was launched by ENTSO-E in September 2012. The project aims at delivering a topdownrnmethodology to support the planning of a Pan-European Electricity Highways System (EHS),rncapable of meeting European needs for electricity transmission between 2020 and 2050.rnDuring the first months of e-Highway2050 a comprehensive set of Boundary Conditions arernestablished to inform all participants of the opportunities and limitations that will move an electricityrnsystem based on today’s solution to the next integrated power system with C02 reduction emissions.rnThe definition of Boundary Conditions starts with a bottom-up description of uncontrollablernUncertainties which are important for the development of EHS but which the decision maker(s)rncannot control, and Options which can be chosen by the decision maker(s). The quantitativernUncertainties and Options are specified in numerical values (min, max, average) as far as possible.rnThen subsequent work will improve the numerical specification/limitation of the suggested Options,rnand may also add, modify or remove some Options, depending on the scenarios finally retained.rnAny combination of Uncertainties will create the boundaries for a possible Future (or Storyline) inrnwhich the EHS will be implemented, while a combination of one or more Options will be a possiblernStrategy on how to implement EHS. In the following scenario analysis, different scenarios for EHSrnwill be established by choosing an appropriate set of Strategies, and then testing those under differentrnFutures. Typically, a robust Strategy is found when it performs satisfactory under many (all) possiblernFutures.