A New Method for Forecasting Market Concentration and Its Application

机译：市场集中度预测的新方法及其应用

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摘要

HHI and CRn are widely applied to measure market concentration.According to the definitions of these two indices,this paper proposes a new method based on the compositional data that not only can forecast the future value of concentration,but also can depict future market structure in detail.The application in the life insurance market of China obtains pleasant results and has verified the effectiveness of this new approach.

机译：HHI和CRn被广泛应用于衡量市场集中度。根据这两个指数的定义，本文提出了一种基于成分数据的新方法，该方法不仅可以预测集中度的未来价值，而且可以描述未来集中度的市场结构。在中国寿险市场的应用取得了令人满意的结果，并证明了这种新方法的有效性。

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来源
《Advances in Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering》|2008年|185-190|共6页
会议地点 Changsha(CN);Changsha(CN)
作者
Zhongju Meng; rnYong Gao; rnDeren Yan;
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作者单位

Wen Long@Research Center on Fictitious Economy Data Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China--Huiwen Wang@School of Economics Management,Beihang University,Beijing 100083,China--;

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会议组织
原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类金融、银行;
关键词
market concentration; Herfindahl-Hirschman Index; Concentration Ratio; compositional data;

机译：市场集中度;赫芬达尔·赫希曼指数;集中度;组成数据;

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A New Method for Forecasting Market Concentration and Its Application

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