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Quantifying predictability for a

机译:量化目标的可预测性

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Abstract: Traditional signal processing techniques normally apply stochastic process theory to account for the inability to predict, control, or reproduce precise results in repeated experiments. This often requires fairly restrictive assumptions (e.g., linear and Gaussian) regarding the nature of the processes generating the signal source and its contamination. Our purpose is to provide a preliminary analysis of an alternative model to account for this random behavior. The alternative model assumes that randomness can result from chaotic dynamics in the processes that generate and contaminate the signal of interest. This provides the option to use nonlinear dynamic prediction models instead of traditional statistical modeling for signal separation. The effectiveness of a given prediction model for a particular application can then be interpreted in terms of the predictability of the data set using that model. !18
机译:摘要:传统的信号处理技术通常采用随机过程理论来解决无法通过重复实验预测,控制或再现精确结果的问题。这通常需要关于产生信号源及其污染的过程的性质的相当严格的假设(例如,线性和高斯)。我们的目的是对替代模型进行初步分析,以说明这种随机行为。替代模型假设随机性可能是由产生和污染目标信号的过程中的混沌动力学导致的。这提供了使用非线性动态预测模型代替传统的统计模型进行信号分离的选项。然后可以根据使用该模型的数据集的可预测性来解释给定预测模型对特定应用程序的有效性。 !18

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