Strategic modeling of innovative development within the framework of ensuring economic security of the regions of the Russian Federation in conditions of integration in the world economy

摘要

The methodology for forecasting the sustainable development of the economy in the context of integrating economies into the world economy is presented in the paper. An essential element of forecasting is strategic modeling of innovative development, diversification of activities within municipalities and regions, and also within vertically integrated structures. Strategies and scenario modeling should meet the principles of increasing standards of economic sustainability for the population. Forecasting, transdisciplinary approach and scenario modeling require the ranking of business development factors; allow identifying industries with greater added value, thereby directing the efforts of small, medium or large businesses to develop certain innovative technologies for results orientation and economic security of the regions and territories.