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Regulation of macroeconomic trends based on the dynamical difference input-output model

机译:基于动态差异投入产出模型的宏观经济趋势调控

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In the present paper the dynamical difference input-output model is considered. The regional economy is simulated and analyzed based on the official data of Rosstat. A system of difference equations is constructed using aggregated data of Rosstat. We assume that the phase variables are annual outputs of three aggregated sectors and gross domestic product (GDP). Prediction of major economic indicators is produced. Predicted values of outputs and GDP are comparing with corresponding values that are predicted using the differential dynamical model. The main goal of the research is to develop an algorithm for solution finding in the optimization problem of macroeconomic trends. Main assumption is that the investment sources are external financial resources. This problem of optimal control for dynamical difference system is reduced to an interval problem of linear programming (IPLP) and finally solved using the adaptive method of R. Gabasov.
机译:本文考虑了动态差异输入输出模型。基于Rosstat的官方数据对区域经济进行了模拟和分析。利用Rosstat的汇总数据构造了一个差分方程系统。我们假设阶段变量是三个总部门的年产出和国内生产总值。产生主要经济指标的预测。将产出和GDP的预测值与使用微分动力学模型预测的相应值进行比较。该研究的主要目的是开发一种算法,用于在宏观经济趋势的优化问题中寻找解决方案。主要假设是投资来源是外部财务资源。动态差分系统的最优控制问题被简化为线性规划(IPLP)的区间问题,并最终通过R. Gabasov的自适应方法得以解决。

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